Week 9 predictions

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Kennesaw State scores 19.0 and allows 25.8 points per game; Middle Tennessee scores 22.7 and allows 28.0. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is -7.3 for Kennesaw State and -1.3 for Middle Tennessee. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Middle Tennessee passing: Roman Gagliano: 79/130, 832 yards, 8 TD, 1 INT; 6.4 yards per attempt and 5 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Betting context: Middle Tennessee is the market favorite by 1.5 points; the posted total is 49.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Jacksonville State scores 27.2 and allows 22.7 points per game; New Mexico State scores 23.7 and allows 25.6. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is 2.6 for Jacksonville State and -1.8 for New Mexico State. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

New Mexico State passing: Trey Hedden: 63/116, 887 yards, 5 TD, 5 INT; 7.6 yards per attempt and 8 sacks. Turnovers are a concern in the current sample.

Betting context: Jacksonville State is the market favorite by 3 points; the posted total is 49.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Troy scores 22.6 and allows 25.2 points per game; James Madison scores 41.3 and allows 18.9. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is -2.3 for Troy and 16.5 for James Madison. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

James Madison passing: Camden Coleman: 59/95, 716 yards, 7 TD, 1 INT; 7.5 yards per attempt and 5 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Betting context: James Madison is the market favorite by 21 points; the posted total is 49.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Florida Atlantic scores 38.0 and allows 33.1 points per game; North Texas scores 44.5 and allows 29.9. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is 2.5 for Florida Atlantic and 11.2 for North Texas. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Florida Atlantic passing: Caden Veltkamp: 115/159, 1,180 yards, 8 TD, 2 INT; 7.4 yards per attempt and 8 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

North Texas passing: Tayven Jackson: 95/128, 1,187 yards, 6 TD, 2 INT; 9.3 yards per attempt and 2 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Players to watch: Florida Atlantic's Kelby Valsin · WR · 386 receiving yards and North Texas's Justin Stevenson · WR · 281 receiving yards lead their respective receiving groups.

Betting context: North Texas is the market favorite by 13.5 points; the posted total is 77.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Tulane scores 20.9 and allows 24.9 points per game; Charlotte scores 18.5 and allows 40.5. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is -4.3 for Tulane and -15.1 for Charlotte. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Charlotte passing: Cole Gonzales: 73/113, 729 yards, 3 TD, 6 INT; 6.5 yards per attempt and 3 sacks. Turnovers are a concern in the current sample.

Betting context: Tulane is the market favorite by 10 points; the posted total is 47.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Baylor scores 29.0 and allows 16.4 points per game; UCF scores 31.6 and allows 24.0. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is 10.1 for Baylor and 4.9 for UCF. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Baylor passing: Nate Bennett: 45/60, 567 yards, 6 TD, 2 INT; 9.4 yards per attempt and 4 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

UCF passing: Alonza Barnett III: 31/49, 344 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT; 7.0 yards per attempt and 4 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Players to watch: Baylor's Gavin Freeman · WR · 364 receiving yards and UCF's Josh Derry · WR · 119 receiving yards lead their respective receiving groups.

Betting context: UCF is the market favorite by 1.5 points; the posted total is 47.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Kent State scores 15.1 and allows 29.6 points per game; Sacramento State scores 14.0 and allows 34.1. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is -7.3 for Kent State and -17.7 for Sacramento State. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Kent State passing: Dru DeShields: 50/85, 540 yards, 3 TD, 3 INT; 6.4 yards per attempt and 1 sacks. Turnovers are a concern in the current sample.

Betting context: Kent State is the market favorite by 10 points; the posted total is 46.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: California scores 23.1 and allows 31.6 points per game; NC State scores 32.3 and allows 28.6. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is -6.9 for California and -0.9 for NC State. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

California passing: Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele: 88/137, 985 yards, 7 TD, 4 INT; 7.2 yards per attempt and 6 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

NC State passing: CJ Bailey: 74/110, 893 yards, 6 TD, 3 INT; 8.1 yards per attempt and 4 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Players to watch: California's Ian Strong · WR · 250 receiving yards and NC State's Keenan Jackson · WR · 295 receiving yards lead their respective receiving groups.

Betting context: NC State is the market favorite by 7 points; the posted total is 56.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Arizona scores 36.7 and allows 16.9 points per game; Texas Tech scores 36.2 and allows 20.9. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is 19.4 for Arizona and 15.4 for Texas Tech. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Arizona passing: Noah Fifita: 99/131, 1,131 yards, 11 TD, 2 INT; 8.6 yards per attempt and 11 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Texas Tech passing: Will Hammond: 80/116, 968 yards, 4 TD, 5 INT; 8.3 yards per attempt and 5 sacks. Turnovers are a concern in the current sample.

Players to watch: Arizona's Tre Spivey · WR · 278 receiving yards and Texas Tech's Kenny Johnson · WR · 290 receiving yards lead their respective receiving groups.

Betting context: Texas Tech is the market favorite by 3.5 points; the posted total is 54.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Boston College scores 24.9 and allows 23.2 points per game; Duke scores 30.4 and allows 16.4. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is 2.9 for Boston College and 11.3 for Duke. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Boston College passing: Mason McKenzie: 61/108, 759 yards, 3 TD, 5 INT; 7.0 yards per attempt and 9 sacks. Turnovers are a concern in the current sample.

Betting context: Duke is the market favorite by 7 points; the posted total is 47.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Bowling Green scores 19.4 and allows 29.3 points per game; Western Michigan scores 26.7 and allows 20.9. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is -5.5 for Bowling Green and 6.7 for Western Michigan. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Bowling Green passing: Jay Kastantin: 58/91, 565 yards, 2 TD, 2 INT; 6.2 yards per attempt and 5 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Western Michigan passing: Broc Lowry: 58/89, 527 yards, 4 TD, 1 INT; 5.9 yards per attempt and 6 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Players to watch: Bowling Green's Winn Sharp · WR · 154 receiving yards and Western Michigan's Aveion Chenault · WR · 216 receiving yards lead their respective receiving groups.

Betting context: Western Michigan is the market favorite by 13.5 points; the posted total is 44.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Notre Dame scores 41.1 and allows 13.8 points per game; Navy scores 29.3 and allows 29.7. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is 20.6 for Notre Dame and 0.1 for Navy. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Notre Dame passing: CJ Carr: 67/95, 963 yards, 9 TD, 1 INT; 10.1 yards per attempt and 2 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Navy passing: Jackson Gutierrez: 10/25, 204 yards, 2 TD, 0 INT; 8.2 yards per attempt and 7 sacks. The passing leader has not thrown an interception in this sample.

Players to watch: Notre Dame's Micah Gilbert · WR · 334 receiving yards and Navy's Jordan Collins · TE · 68 receiving yards lead their respective receiving groups.

Betting context: Notre Dame is the market favorite by 30.5 points; the posted total is 56.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Illinois scores 29.7 and allows 25.4 points per game; Maryland scores 26.5 and allows 35.2. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is 5.1 for Illinois and -6.1 for Maryland. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Illinois passing: Katin Houser: 81/118, 1,021 yards, 9 TD, 2 INT; 8.7 yards per attempt and 5 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Maryland passing: Malik Washington: 101/154, 1,034 yards, 6 TD, 4 INT; 6.7 yards per attempt and 5 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Players to watch: Illinois's Collin Dixon · WR · 430 receiving yards and Maryland's Chris Durr Jr. · WR · 312 receiving yards lead their respective receiving groups.

Betting context: Illinois is the market favorite by 2.5 points; the posted total is 54.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: SMU scores 36.5 and allows 21.1 points per game; Syracuse scores 30.5 and allows 27.4. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is 12.1 for SMU and 2.0 for Syracuse. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

SMU passing: Kevin Jennings: 97/126, 1,453 yards, 12 TD, 5 INT; 11.5 yards per attempt and 4 sacks. Turnovers are a concern in the current sample.

Syracuse passing: Steve Angeli: 57/104, 731 yards, 4 TD, 5 INT; 7.0 yards per attempt and 8 sacks. Turnovers are a concern in the current sample.

Players to watch: SMU's Yamir Knight · WR · 345 receiving yards and Syracuse's Umari Hatcher · WR · 282 receiving yards lead their respective receiving groups.

Betting context: SMU is the market favorite by 10 points; the posted total is 58.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: UAB scores 23.2 and allows 24.0 points per game; South Florida scores 26.6 and allows 15.1. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is -1.1 for UAB and 9.5 for South Florida. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

UAB passing: Ryder Burton: 54/92, 652 yards, 3 TD, 4 INT; 7.1 yards per attempt and 11 sacks. Turnovers are a concern in the current sample.

South Florida passing: Michael Van Buren Jr.: 60/91, 691 yards, 3 TD, 0 INT; 7.6 yards per attempt and 8 sacks. The passing leader has not thrown an interception in this sample.

Players to watch: UAB's Ty Mims · WR · 196 receiving yards and South Florida's Bryson Rodgers · WR · 197 receiving yards lead their respective receiving groups.

Betting context: South Florida is the market favorite by 7.5 points; the posted total is 42.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Wisconsin scores 27.0 and allows 14.4 points per game; Iowa scores 27.6 and allows 15.0. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is 12.4 for Wisconsin and 10.8 for Iowa. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Wisconsin passing: Colton Joseph: 72/123, 987 yards, 7 TD, 5 INT; 8.0 yards per attempt and 3 sacks. Turnovers are a concern in the current sample.

Iowa passing: Hank Brown: 66/97, 700 yards, 5 TD, 0 INT; 7.2 yards per attempt and 2 sacks. The passing leader has not thrown an interception in this sample.

Players to watch: Wisconsin's Tyrell Henry · WR · 307 receiving yards and Iowa's Tony Diaz · WR · 247 receiving yards lead their respective receiving groups.

Betting context: Iowa is the market favorite by 3.5 points; the posted total is 36.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Michigan scores 20.4 and allows 16.0 points per game; Rutgers scores 29.3 and allows 33.0. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is 5.1 for Michigan and -4.3 for Rutgers. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Michigan passing: Bryce Underwood: 57/92, 780 yards, 5 TD, 2 INT; 8.5 yards per attempt and 5 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Rutgers passing: Dylan Lonergan: 46/82, 708 yards, 7 TD, 5 INT; 8.6 yards per attempt and 5 sacks. Turnovers are a concern in the current sample.

Players to watch: Michigan's JJ Buchanan · WR · 396 receiving yards and Rutgers's KJ Duff · WR · 550 receiving yards lead their respective receiving groups.

Betting context: Michigan is the market favorite by 14 points; the posted total is 46.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Auburn scores 25.3 and allows 24.7 points per game; Ole Miss scores 35.7 and allows 25.2. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is 3.8 for Auburn and 13.7 for Ole Miss. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Auburn passing: Byrum Brown: 82/126, 896 yards, 6 TD, 5 INT; 7.1 yards per attempt and 14 sacks. Turnovers are a concern in the current sample.

Betting context: Ole Miss is the market favorite by 13.5 points; the posted total is 57.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Marshall scores 22.5 and allows 30.1 points per game; Old Dominion scores 14.8 and allows 27.0. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is -6.2 for Marshall and -11.6 for Old Dominion. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Marshall passing: Carlos Del Rio-Wilson: 67/97, 783 yards, 5 TD, 1 INT; 8.1 yards per attempt and 6 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Old Dominion passing: Quinn Henicle: 30/53, 424 yards, 3 TD, 2 INT; 8.0 yards per attempt and 9 sacks. Turnovers are a concern in the current sample.

Players to watch: Marshall's Xayvion Turner-Bradshaw · WR · 300 receiving yards and Old Dominion's TJ Johnson · WR · 153 receiving yards lead their respective receiving groups.

Betting context: Marshall is the market favorite by 2.5 points; the posted total is 45.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Kansas State scores 31.1 and allows 22.4 points per game; Colorado scores 19.8 and allows 31.1. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is 4.4 for Kansas State and -8.1 for Colorado. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Colorado passing: Julian Lewis: 61/95, 733 yards, 6 TD, 2 INT; 7.7 yards per attempt and 8 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Betting context: Kansas State is the market favorite by 1.5 points; the posted total is 47.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Coastal Carolina scores 25.9 and allows 26.1 points per game; Georgia State scores 34.9 and allows 26.9. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is -1.7 for Coastal Carolina and 6.4 for Georgia State. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Coastal Carolina passing: Deuce Bailey: 66/122, 1,039 yards, 10 TD, 2 INT; 8.5 yards per attempt and 14 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Georgia State passing: Cameran Brown: 75/111, 873 yards, 6 TD, 4 INT; 7.9 yards per attempt and 2 sacks. Turnovers are a concern in the current sample.

Players to watch: Coastal Carolina's Colton Hinton · WR · 220 receiving yards and Georgia State's Rodshaun Dorsey · WR · 234 receiving yards lead their respective receiving groups.

Betting context: Georgia State is the market favorite by 6.5 points; the posted total is 57.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: UConn scores 35.0 and allows 24.1 points per game; Air Force scores 28.2 and allows 21.5. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is 8.2 for UConn and 6.2 for Air Force. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

UConn passing: Kalieb Osborne: 62/101, 850 yards, 7 TD, 2 INT; 8.4 yards per attempt and 10 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Air Force passing: Liam Szarka: 13/27, 214 yards, 1 TD, 2 INT; 7.9 yards per attempt and 2 sacks. Turnovers are a concern in the current sample.

Players to watch: UConn's Shamar Porter · WR · 184 receiving yards and Air Force's Simon Kibbee · TE · 80 receiving yards lead their respective receiving groups.

Betting context: Air Force is the market favorite by 1.5 points; the posted total is 51.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Temple scores 25.4 and allows 28.6 points per game; East Carolina scores 25.8 and allows 25.4. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is -3.8 for Temple and 2.0 for East Carolina. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Temple passing: Ajani Sheppard: 31/58, 539 yards, 5 TD, 0 INT; 9.3 yards per attempt and 4 sacks. The passing leader has not thrown an interception in this sample.

Betting context: East Carolina is the market favorite by 6 points; the posted total is 49.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Louisiana Tech scores 30.7 and allows 20.8 points per game; South Alabama scores 35.0 and allows 33.4. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is 6.1 for Louisiana Tech and 2.6 for South Alabama. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Louisiana Tech passing: Blake Baker: 21/35, 360 yards, 4 TD, 1 INT; 10.3 yards per attempt and 8 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

South Alabama passing: Jared Hollins: 36/63, 458 yards, 3 TD, 2 INT; 7.3 yards per attempt and 3 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Players to watch: Louisiana Tech's Jalen Mickens · WR · 297 receiving yards and South Alabama's Jeremiah Jones-Thomas · WR · 236 receiving yards lead their respective receiving groups.

Betting context: Louisiana Tech is the market favorite by 5.5 points; the posted total is 58.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Stanford scores 20.0 and allows 35.3 points per game; Louisville scores 38.2 and allows 27.1. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is -6.6 for Stanford and 10.0 for Louisville. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Stanford passing: Davis Warren: 83/143, 1,071 yards, 5 TD, 0 INT; 7.5 yards per attempt and 7 sacks. The passing leader has not thrown an interception in this sample.

Louisville passing: Lincoln Kienholz: 75/109, 1,140 yards, 7 TD, 1 INT; 10.5 yards per attempt and 7 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Players to watch: Stanford's Caden High · WR · 256 receiving yards and Louisville's Tre Richardson · WR · 328 receiving yards lead their respective receiving groups.

Betting context: Louisville is the market favorite by 22.5 points; the posted total is 60.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: UTEP scores 14.9 and allows 37.0 points per game; North Dakota State scores 26.8 and allows 12.9. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is -16.2 for UTEP and 13.4 for North Dakota State. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

UTEP passing: EJ Colson Jr.: 43/65, 496 yards, 7 TD, 2 INT; 7.6 yards per attempt and 14 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

North Dakota State passing: Nathan Hayes: 61/91, 808 yards, 7 TD, 2 INT; 8.9 yards per attempt and 4 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Players to watch: UTEP's Carver Cheeks · WR · 143 receiving yards and North Dakota State's Jackson Williams · WR · 283 receiving yards lead their respective receiving groups.

Betting context: North Dakota State is the market favorite by 24.5 points; the posted total is 42.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Southern Miss scores 25.2 and allows 33.3 points per game; UL Monroe scores 20.2 and allows 36.3. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is -8.6 for Southern Miss and -13.3 for UL Monroe. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

UL Monroe passing: Aidan Armenta: 43/66, 493 yards, 3 TD, 0 INT; 7.5 yards per attempt and 5 sacks. The passing leader has not thrown an interception in this sample.

Betting context: Southern Miss is the market favorite by 3.5 points; the posted total is 55.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Northwestern scores 34.7 and allows 16.7 points per game; Oregon scores 32.5 and allows 20.2. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is 18.6 for Northwestern and 6.0 for Oregon. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Northwestern passing: Aidan Chiles: 53/75, 807 yards, 6 TD, 0 INT; 10.8 yards per attempt and 7 sacks. The passing leader has not thrown an interception in this sample.

Betting context: Oregon is the market favorite by 3.5 points; the posted total is 47.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Minnesota scores 25.3 and allows 20.5 points per game; Indiana scores 32.2 and allows 12.2. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is 3.1 for Minnesota and 17.0 for Indiana. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Minnesota passing: Drake Lindsey: 88/132, 951 yards, 7 TD, 2 INT; 7.2 yards per attempt and 3 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Indiana passing: Josh Hoover: 56/80, 850 yards, 11 TD, 0 INT; 10.6 yards per attempt and 5 sacks. The passing leader has not thrown an interception in this sample.

Players to watch: Minnesota's Javon Tracy · WR · 281 receiving yards and Indiana's Charlie Becker · WR · 370 receiving yards lead their respective receiving groups.

Betting context: Indiana is the market favorite by 20.5 points; the posted total is 41.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Kansas scores 30.3 and allows 24.7 points per game; TCU scores 23.0 and allows 14.1. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is 1.7 for Kansas and 5.8 for TCU. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Kansas passing: Isaiah Marshall: 44/82, 649 yards, 5 TD, 3 INT; 7.9 yards per attempt and 5 sacks. Turnovers are a concern in the current sample.

TCU passing: Jaden Craig: 90/132, 1,213 yards, 7 TD, 3 INT; 9.2 yards per attempt and 9 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Players to watch: Kansas's Nik McMillan · WR · 226 receiving yards and TCU's Ed Small · WR · 371 receiving yards lead their respective receiving groups.

Betting context: TCU is the market favorite by 6 points; the posted total is 46.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Florida scores 38.1 and allows 29.1 points per game; Georgia scores 41.3 and allows 16.3. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is 9.2 for Florida and 21.1 for Georgia. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Florida passing: Aaron Philo: 63/87, 917 yards, 7 TD, 2 INT; 10.5 yards per attempt and 2 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Georgia passing: Gunner Stockton: 52/70, 754 yards, 10 TD, 1 INT; 10.8 yards per attempt and 4 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Players to watch: Florida's Vernell Brown III · WR · 271 receiving yards and Georgia's Craig Dandridge · WR · 171 receiving yards lead their respective receiving groups.

Betting context: Georgia is the market favorite by 11.5 points; the posted total is 55.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Florida International scores 20.4 and allows 16.1 points per game; Liberty scores 32.4 and allows 13.5. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is 3.8 for Florida International and 18.1 for Liberty. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Liberty passing: Deshawn Purdie: 47/80, 779 yards, 7 TD, 0 INT; 9.7 yards per attempt and 9 sacks. The passing leader has not thrown an interception in this sample.

Betting context: Liberty is the market favorite by 14 points; the posted total is 44.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Colorado State scores 38.5 and allows 45.9 points per game; Utah State scores 14.9 and allows 22.7. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is -6.3 for Colorado State and -6.1 for Utah State. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Colorado State passing: Hauss Hejny: 47/73, 619 yards, 10 TD, 1 INT; 8.5 yards per attempt and 1 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Utah State passing: Grady Brosterhous: 55/98, 635 yards, 4 TD, 6 INT; 6.5 yards per attempt and 9 sacks. Turnovers are a concern in the current sample.

Players to watch: Colorado State's RJ Vick · WR · 268 receiving yards and Utah State's Eli Wood · WR · 286 receiving yards lead their respective receiving groups.

Betting context: Utah State is the market favorite by 6.5 points; the posted total is 63.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Arizona State scores 29.5 and allows 30.3 points per game; BYU scores 31.9 and allows 19.2. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is -1.0 for Arizona State and 11.7 for BYU. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Arizona State passing: Cutter Boley: 53/84, 736 yards, 9 TD, 2 INT; 8.8 yards per attempt and 4 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

BYU passing: Bear Bachmeier: 44/62, 642 yards, 6 TD, 1 INT; 10.4 yards per attempt and 2 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Players to watch: Arizona State's Reed Harris · WR · 374 receiving yards and BYU's Legend Glasker · WR · 270 receiving yards lead their respective receiving groups.

Betting context: BYU is the market favorite by 16.5 points; the posted total is 48.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Virginia scores 27.5 and allows 20.2 points per game; Wake Forest scores 37.4 and allows 19.1. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is 3.3 for Virginia and 15.7 for Wake Forest. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Virginia passing: Beau Pribula: 66/86, 793 yards, 11 TD, 1 INT; 9.2 yards per attempt and 7 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Wake Forest passing: Gio Lopez: 78/124, 1,112 yards, 8 TD, 1 INT; 9.0 yards per attempt and 8 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Players to watch: Virginia's Kameron Courtney · WR · 166 receiving yards and Wake Forest's Carlos Hernandez · WR · 516 receiving yards lead their respective receiving groups.

Betting context: Wake Forest is the market favorite by 12.5 points; the posted total is 49.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Utah scores 36.0 and allows 14.9 points per game; Cincinnati scores 35.0 and allows 27.3. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is 18.0 for Utah and 6.0 for Cincinnati. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Cincinnati passing: JC French IV: 70/94, 796 yards, 6 TD, 0 INT; 8.5 yards per attempt and 5 sacks. The passing leader has not thrown an interception in this sample.

Betting context: Utah is the market favorite by 6.5 points; the posted total is 56.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: New Mexico scores 36.2 and allows 11.6 points per game; San José State scores 19.7 and allows 21.8. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is 17.7 for New Mexico and -0.9 for San José State. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

New Mexico passing: Toa Fa'avae: 21/44, 390 yards, 2 TD, 0 INT; 8.9 yards per attempt and 10 sacks. The passing leader has not thrown an interception in this sample.

San José State passing: Luke Weaver: 87/143, 1,032 yards, 9 TD, 5 INT; 7.2 yards per attempt and 8 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Players to watch: New Mexico's Cade Keith · TE · 169 receiving yards and San José State's Carson Clark · WR · 240 receiving yards lead their respective receiving groups.

Betting context: New Mexico is the market favorite by 14.5 points; the posted total is 42.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Nevada scores 25.8 and allows 22.4 points per game; UCLA scores 33.9 and allows 14.7. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is 2.8 for Nevada and 16.3 for UCLA. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Betting context: UCLA is the market favorite by 22.5 points; the posted total is 44.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Purdue scores 30.5 and allows 32.6 points per game; Penn State scores 27.8 and allows 20.0. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is 1.1 for Purdue and 6.2 for Penn State. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Purdue passing: Ryan Browne: 92/129, 1,135 yards, 7 TD, 1 INT; 8.8 yards per attempt and 10 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Penn State passing: Rocco Becht: 57/93, 865 yards, 9 TD, 1 INT; 9.3 yards per attempt and 5 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Players to watch: Purdue's Asaad Waseem · WR · 355 receiving yards and Penn State's Koby Howard · WR · 344 receiving yards lead their respective receiving groups.

Betting context: Penn State is the market favorite by 7.5 points; the posted total is 54.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: South Carolina scores 35.0 and allows 26.6 points per game; Oklahoma scores 20.6 and allows 18.7. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is 6.9 for South Carolina and 3.9 for Oklahoma. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

South Carolina passing: LaNorris Sellers: 72/116, 833 yards, 6 TD, 4 INT; 7.2 yards per attempt and 6 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Betting context: Oklahoma is the market favorite by 4.5 points; the posted total is 44.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: App State scores 29.1 and allows 24.1 points per game; Georgia Southern scores 24.5 and allows 24.0. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is 2.4 for App State and 2.0 for Georgia Southern. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Georgia Southern passing: Max Johnson: 104/157, 996 yards, 5 TD, 1 INT; 6.3 yards per attempt and 6 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Betting context: Georgia Southern is the market favorite by 5.5 points; the posted total is 56.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Washington State scores 19.3 and allows 27.9 points per game; San Diego State scores 25.9 and allows 37.1. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is -9.1 for Washington State and -8.4 for San Diego State. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Washington State passing: Caden Pinnick: 66/108, 644 yards, 3 TD, 4 INT; 6.0 yards per attempt and 13 sacks. Turnovers are a concern in the current sample.

San Diego State passing: Jayden Denegal: 55/98, 597 yards, 5 TD, 5 INT; 6.1 yards per attempt and 7 sacks. Turnovers are a concern in the current sample.

Players to watch: Washington State's Daniel Blood · WR · 161 receiving yards and San Diego State's Nathan Acevedo · WR · 130 receiving yards lead their respective receiving groups.

Betting context: San Diego State is the market favorite by 2.5 points; the posted total is 48.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Oklahoma State scores 41.2 and allows 23.8 points per game; Iowa State scores 25.1 and allows 25.1. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is 14.4 for Oklahoma State and 0.1 for Iowa State. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Iowa State passing: Jaylen Raynor: 50/92, 639 yards, 5 TD, 3 INT; 6.9 yards per attempt and 4 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Betting context: Oklahoma State is the market favorite by 9.5 points; the posted total is 57.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Clemson scores 21.9 and allows 20.1 points per game; Florida State scores 31.7 and allows 28.3. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is 3.6 for Clemson and 6.9 for Florida State. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Clemson passing: Tait Reynolds: 54/84, 521 yards, 1 TD, 2 INT; 6.2 yards per attempt and 10 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Florida State passing: Ashton Daniels: 58/97, 928 yards, 6 TD, 5 INT; 9.6 yards per attempt and 7 sacks. Turnovers are a concern in the current sample.

Players to watch: Clemson's T.J. Moore · WR · 196 receiving yards and Florida State's Duce Robinson · WR · 262 receiving yards lead their respective receiving groups.

Betting context: Florida State is the market favorite by 6 points; the posted total is 49.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Ohio State scores 38.8 and allows 13.7 points per game; USC scores 31.6 and allows 25.8. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is 22.0 for Ohio State and 7.1 for USC. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Ohio State passing: Julian Sayin: 83/115, 1,206 yards, 10 TD, 1 INT; 10.5 yards per attempt and 5 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

USC passing: Jayden Maiava: 110/157, 1,499 yards, 14 TD, 2 INT; 9.5 yards per attempt and 4 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Players to watch: Ohio State's Jeremiah Smith · WR · 617 receiving yards and USC's Kayden Dixon-Wyatt · WR · 372 receiving yards lead their respective receiving groups.

Betting context: Ohio State is the market favorite by 6.5 points; the posted total is 51.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Mississippi State scores 28.2 and allows 28.5 points per game; Texas scores 29.6 and allows 19.8. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is 2.9 for Mississippi State and 10.6 for Texas. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Mississippi State passing: Kamario Taylor: 83/120, 1,192 yards, 14 TD, 2 INT; 9.9 yards per attempt and 8 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Betting context: Texas is the market favorite by 20.5 points; the posted total is 50.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Miami scores 48.7 and allows 15.9 points per game; North Carolina scores 24.6 and allows 21.6. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is 23.8 for Miami and 5.8 for North Carolina. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Miami passing: Darian Mensah: 94/106, 1,211 yards, 14 TD, 0 INT; 11.4 yards per attempt and 2 sacks. The passing leader has not thrown an interception in this sample.

North Carolina passing: Billy Edwards Jr.: 44/78, 611 yards, 3 TD, 1 INT; 7.8 yards per attempt and 7 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Players to watch: Miami's Malachi Toney · WR · 564 receiving yards and North Carolina's Jelani Thurman · TE · 183 receiving yards lead their respective receiving groups.

Betting context: Miami is the market favorite by 14 points; the posted total is 52.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Georgia Tech scores 27.2 and allows 30.9 points per game; Pittsburgh scores 31.0 and allows 21.5. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is -3.8 for Georgia Tech and 5.4 for Pittsburgh. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Pittsburgh passing: Mason Heintschel: 88/130, 1,191 yards, 13 TD, 1 INT; 9.2 yards per attempt and 4 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Betting context: Pittsburgh is the market favorite by 7.5 points; the posted total is 54.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Missouri scores 29.8 and allows 19.8 points per game; Arkansas scores 21.0 and allows 26.6. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is 11.5 for Missouri and -1.3 for Arkansas. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Missouri passing: Austin Simmons: 70/107, 947 yards, 11 TD, 0 INT; 8.9 yards per attempt and 4 sacks. The passing leader has not thrown an interception in this sample.

Arkansas passing: KJ Jackson: 82/132, 927 yards, 5 TD, 3 INT; 7.0 yards per attempt and 9 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Players to watch: Missouri's Cayden Lee · WR · 412 receiving yards and Arkansas's Chris Marshall · WR · 473 receiving yards lead their respective receiving groups.

Betting context: Missouri is the market favorite by 10 points; the posted total is 49.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Washington scores 28.2 and allows 23.6 points per game; Nebraska scores 34.3 and allows 15.4. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is 4.5 for Washington and 18.1 for Nebraska. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Washington passing: Demond Williams Jr.: 95/137, 1,129 yards, 7 TD, 3 INT; 8.2 yards per attempt and 10 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Nebraska passing: Anthony Colandrea: 68/104, 904 yards, 10 TD, 1 INT; 8.7 yards per attempt and 3 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Players to watch: Washington's Dezmen Roebuck · WR · 308 receiving yards and Nebraska's Kwazi Gilmer · WR · 240 receiving yards lead their respective receiving groups.

Betting context: Nebraska is the market favorite by 7.5 points; the posted total is 49.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Army scores 34.6 and allows 22.8 points per game; Memphis scores 36.4 and allows 23.7. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is 8.6 for Army and 9.2 for Memphis. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Army passing: Cale Hellums: 16/25, 186 yards, 2 TD, 0 INT; 7.4 yards per attempt and 1 sacks. The passing leader has not thrown an interception in this sample.

Memphis passing: Marcus Stokes: 70/98, 1,053 yards, 9 TD, 3 INT; 10.7 yards per attempt and 5 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Players to watch: Army's Samari Howard · WR · 62 receiving yards and Memphis's Hunter Tipton · TE · 307 receiving yards lead their respective receiving groups.

Betting context: Memphis is the market favorite by 6 points; the posted total is 60.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Texas State scores 38.8 and allows 28.5 points per game; Boise State scores 34.6 and allows 19.9. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is 7.4 for Texas State and 16.1 for Boise State. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Texas State passing: Brad Jackson: 65/95, 854 yards, 10 TD, 3 INT; 9.0 yards per attempt and 2 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Boise State passing: Maddux Madsen: 70/111, 814 yards, 9 TD, 0 INT; 7.3 yards per attempt and 4 sacks. The passing leader has not thrown an interception in this sample.

Players to watch: Texas State's Chris Dawn Jr. · WR · 247 receiving yards and Boise State's Rasean Jones · WR · 271 receiving yards lead their respective receiving groups.

Betting context: Boise State is the market favorite by 11.5 points; the posted total is 63.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Northern Illinois scores 15.6 and allows 38.8 points per game; UNLV scores 24.8 and allows 23.8. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is -19.5 for Northern Illinois and 2.0 for UNLV. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

UNLV passing: Jackson Arnold: 68/111, 891 yards, 5 TD, 0 INT; 8.0 yards per attempt and 11 sacks. The passing leader has not thrown an interception in this sample.

Betting context: UNLV is the market favorite by 23.5 points; the posted total is 53.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.

Game keys

Scoring matchup: Oregon State scores 44.1 and allows 22.4 points per game; Fresno State scores 28.3 and allows 20.8. These are recency-weighted averages through the latest verified finals.

Schedule context: Opponent- and venue-adjusted margin is 17.6 for Oregon State and 7.3 for Fresno State. This helps put wins against different schedules in context; it is not a projected winning margin.

Oregon State passing: Braden Atkinson: 106/163, 1,421 yards, 11 TD, 2 INT; 8.7 yards per attempt and 6 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Fresno State passing: Jayden Mandal: 67/104, 789 yards, 6 TD, 1 INT; 7.6 yards per attempt and 6 sacks. Ball security remains a matchup factor.

Players to watch: Oregon State's Jesse Legree · WR · 585 receiving yards and Fresno State's Josiah Freeman · WR · 261 receiving yards lead their respective receiving groups.

Betting context: Oregon State is the market favorite by 5.5 points; the posted total is 57.5. The win pick and the ATS pick answer different questions.

Season passing leaders are not automatically this week's starters. Availability reports and depth charts still determine who is expected to play.